Price and value are two numbers. The engine refuses to merge them.
A college player priced against the market and against your team, with baseball's thin NIL slice read honestly.
Value two ways, and the gap.
The engine prices a college player two ways, and never merges them. The market value is what the open college market, the porous sum of the money layers, would pay him. The value to your team is his team-KR contribution given your roster, park, and needs. The gap between the two is the mispricing, and it is where a program wins on the edges.
The market would pay him $210K and he is worth $340K to your specific team, a +$130K gap that is the edge. The engine keeps the two numbers apart, because merging them into one average would erase exactly the mispricing you are trying to find. Price is not value, and the gap between them is where a program wins.
Illustrative engine read on the real two-way valuation (market value against value to your team, never merged, each with confidence, the gap named). Composite shortstop, demonstration figures; dollars flagged v0 and current-as-of.
The thin baseball NIL slice, the three money layers.
The college package is a porous stack of three layers under the House-settlement structure, and baseball's slice of each is thin. The honest framing is that college baseball NIL is a modest number for most players, best read as the amount that would keep a draft-eligible player in school rather than sign, or move a portal player between programs.
Three porous layers, a small baseball slice of each, and an honest total that is modest for most players. The engine reads the package as an outside-option number, what keeps a draft-eligible player in school or moves a portal player, rather than pretending baseball has football's NIL economy. Baseball's college NIL is thin, read as the outside option, never inflated to the football model.
Illustrative engine read on the real three money layers (revenue-share, collective, third-party NIL) under the House-settlement structure, with baseball's thin slice framed as the outside option. Composite figures flagged v0 and current-as-of.
The surplus and the cost-control edge.
Where the player's future professional value, projected through the amateur-to-pro engine, sits far above his college cost, the surplus is real, and the engine names it. The cost-control edge is smaller on the college open-market side than on the draft and international allocation systems, and the read says so.
A $3.8M future pro value over a $340K college cost is a real surplus, and the engine names it, while noting that the cost-control edge is smaller on the open college market than in the draft and international systems. The honest read is the surplus and where it is thinner, not a uniform edge everywhere. Buy the value the opaque market underprices, and know the college edge is smaller than the draft's.
Illustrative engine read on the real surplus and cost-control edge (future pro value over college cost, the smaller edge on the college open market than in the draft and international allocation systems). Composite player, demonstration figures flagged v0 and current-as-of.
The whole edge is buying value the market has not caught up to.
Price it twice. Name the gap.
Valuation and NIL prices a college player against the market and against your team, reads baseball's thin college NIL slice as the honest outside option it is, and names the surplus and the mispricing a program can buy, with every dollar flagged current-as-of.